← All recordsSW-0033 · Crypto · 2019-02-01 to 2025-06-30

Cross-sectional reversal

Did not pass
90Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
+0.29Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+0.65Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.177Scorehas to reach 0.950

Result against chance

Best version found+0.29What luck alone gives+0.65Smallest edge visible+1.64
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.

Spread across every version

-0.80median -0.21+0.29zero
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 23% of versions finished above zero.
Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran.
sha256 e64ad6e643c7f7e49dbf504a783130dc02f1bee4f7d39dd36c45e79d122fb5c1
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