← All recordsSW-0016 · FX · 2017-09-01 to 2025-06-30

Hour-of-day seasonality

Did not pass
864Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
+0.79Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+13.99Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.000Scorehas to reach 0.950

Result against chance

Best version found+0.79What luck alone gives+13.99Smallest edge visible+29.41
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.

Spread across every version

-17.61median -2.85+0.79zero
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 18% of versions finished above zero.
Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran.
sha256 df81dad18f0d1077c4a7018b4bc72a73ecd717f4cf77cc3c1fbdb3064dc74949
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