← All recordsSW-0015 · FX · 2017-09-01 to 2025-06-30

Volatility-filtered momentum

Did not pass
540Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
+0.88Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+3.41Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.000Scorehas to reach 0.950

Result against chance

Best version found+0.88What luck alone gives+3.41Smallest edge visible+4.50
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.

Spread across every version

-5.17median -1.02+0.88zero
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 15% of versions finished above zero.
Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran.
sha256 a2444273e63e54f93f18ffa01fe8933cb7308588fb372168627d443e576e23bd
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