← All recordsSW-0008 · Crypto · 2017-09-01 to 2025-06-30
Time-series momentum
Did not pass
540Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
+1.11Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+2.34Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.000Scorehas to reach 0.950
Result against chance
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.
Spread across every version
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 41% of versions finished above zero.
Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran. sha256 c4c590c0702cba4325339dd8f78164c2249e1ea3973a81f9bbdae0193b000c64