← All recordsSW-0007 · Crypto · 2017-09-01 to 2025-06-30

ATR breakout

Did not pass
540Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
+1.26Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+1.49Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.255Scorehas to reach 0.950

Result against chance

Best version found+1.26What luck alone gives+1.49Smallest edge visible+2.36
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.

Spread across every version

-2.46median -0.07+1.26zero
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 42% of versions finished above zero.
Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran.
sha256 8279ca8833eb2215b0e6af42afb98fd57e9e55606971f4f2e9214d16b55998d9
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