← All recordsSW-0040 · Crypto · 2019-02-01 to 2025-06-30

Cross-sectional reversal

Did not pass
45Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
-0.20Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+1.01Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.001Scorehas to reach 0.950

Result against chance

Best version found-0.20What luck alone gives+1.01Smallest edge visible+1.94
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.

Spread across every version

-1.92median -0.94-0.20zero
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 0% of versions finished above zero.
Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran.
sha256 c9f6e0e88b84fc0af5fa9d5f6333a2b9535b144b39fdadf36102e0d1afdf01f1
← SW-0039SW-0041 →