← All recordsSW-0036 · Crypto · 2019-01-01 to 2025-06-30

volume_breakout + obv_trend + volume_climax

Did not pass
1,080Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
+0.86Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+7.92Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.000Scorehas to reach 0.950

Result against chance

Best version found+0.86What luck alone gives+7.92Smallest edge visible+8.93
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.

Spread across every version

-13.67median -0.41+0.86zero
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 23% of versions finished above zero.

Notes

Timestamp ordering is weaker here than in every other record. The pre-registration was frozen by register.py before run_sweep.py was invoked, but the OpenTimestamps stamp was applied afterwards: the first stamp attempt ran before register.py had written the hash file and silently produced nothing. The document is therefore hashed and anchored, but the anchor does not prove it predates the result. Read this record as self-reported ordering, not verified ordering.

Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran.
sha256 73c4c07e773b2d9560fa05c3f9daddff50729c8dfecac0d344de3e40aec974c2
← SW-0035