← All recordsSW-0022 · Crypto · 2017-09-01 to 2025-06-30

Inside bar breakout

Did not pass
540Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
+0.41Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+1.44Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.002Scorehas to reach 0.950

Result against chance

Best version found+0.41What luck alone gives+1.44Smallest edge visible+2.74
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.

Spread across every version

-2.77median -0.41+0.41zero
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 13% of versions finished above zero.
Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran.
sha256 eaf544abcb9384c8e6cc63d86f51622e63f1b866f932f5d64d54dc3647b77c30
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