← All recordsSW-0011 · FX · 2017-09-01 to 2025-06-30

Moving average cross

Did not pass
945Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
+0.81Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+1.69Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.019Scorehas to reach 0.950

Result against chance

Best version found+0.81What luck alone gives+1.69Smallest edge visible+2.73
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.

Spread across every version

-2.74median -0.54+0.81zero
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 13% of versions finished above zero.
Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran.
sha256 5375656cb4974be0840854de073e1d0361cab2bf2fa26722a54bd61595717062
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