← All recordsSW-0005 · Crypto · 2017-09-01 to 2025-06-30
Moving average cross
Did not pass
630Versions testedevery combination, fixed in advance
+0.96Best versionreturn adjusted for risk, per year
+1.23Luck alonewhat the best scores if nothing works
0.225Scorehas to reach 0.950
Result against chance
If the best version cannot beat what luck alone produces from the same number of tries, there is nothing there. The third bar is the smallest real edge this test could have detected: anything below it is invisible to the test, and that limit is stated rather than hidden.
Spread across every version
Every version tested, worst to best. The box holds the middle half. Showing only the best bar is how noise gets sold as skill. 54% of versions finished above zero.
Sealed on the Bitcoin blockchain before the test ran. sha256 006ad69488fce6ff9133d5b846f91bdaf7ee3cedda963a58166612e10d0d6dc6